This MSc project will assess the potential impacts of climate change on endangered endemic species within the UK Overseas Territories (UKOTs), focusing on projected shifts in habitat suitability under future climate scenarios.
Using high-resolution downscaled climate models and sea level rise predictions, the study will evaluate how changes in temperature, precipitation, and sea level, may alter the thermal and ecological niches of selected species.
The project will focus on one or two priority species, such as representatives from St Helena and the Caribbean, where sufficient ecological and climatic data are available.
By integrating species distribution data, local weather station records, and habitat maps, the student will model potential changes in suitable habitat and explore the likelihood of elevational or spatial range shifts in response to warming and drying trends.
This desk-based research will employ GIS and climate modelling tools to identify key areas of vulnerability and resilience. The results will contribute to understanding how climate change may threaten biodiversity in the UKOTs and inform conservation planning for priority species.
The project is suitable for a student interested in climate modelling, biogeography, and conservation, ideally under supervision from a researcher experienced in climate data analysis.